Monsoon is going to intensify in the coming days. A low pressure system is expected to form in the Bay of Bengal by June 25-26.
Now this rainmaker is going to make landfall into Odisha by June 26. It will then move diagonally into Chattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and end up in eastern Rajasthan by June 28-29. The moribund monsoon will be jerked, shocked into awakening.
Meanwhile the other Rip Van Winkle, Arabian Sea will slowly shed it's lethargy. The increased rainfall activity in coastal Karnataka will move upto Goa then Konkan at the same time. The sea will start pushing moisture into Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan.
The joint operation by the two monsoon streams will lead to a rapid advance into India. The optimistic American GFS model predicts monsoon will cover the entire country by July 5.
The European model ECMWF expects a low/cyclonic circulation to form off the Saurashtra coast by June 26. But this is yet to be confirmed. This model predicts a flare-up in monsoon activity on June 27 off Goa coast which will then moves to the Saurashtra coast in the following 2-3 days.
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